Probability & Forecasting · MANUAL INPUT
Probability & Forecasting
Focused tools for probability & forecasting, using your own prices and assumptions.
Options Probability Calculator
Estimate probabilities above and below a target, including ITM and OTM outcomes.
Open tool →Expected Move Calculator
Calculate one- and two-standard-deviation price-move approximations from manual IV and DTE.
Open tool →Options Scenario / Stress Test
Stress a manual position with price, remaining time and IV changes using the shared strategy model.
Open tool →Use consistent inputs
Enter values from the same contract and observation time. A premium per share is different from a contract cash price. Read each result’s units and assumptions before comparing it with another tool.
Open the Advanced Strategy Builder to combine legs and inspect a position, or return to all tools.